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Transboundary and Emerging Diseases

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Transboundary and Emerging Diseases's content profile, based on 34 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Modelling serological cross-reactivity to disentangle the dynamics of West Nile and Usutu viruses in an emerging area

Bastard, J.; Migne, C.; Helle, T.; Agneray, E.; Bigeard, C.; Boudjadi, Y.; Chevrier, M.; Dumarest, M.; Gondard, M.; Martin-Latil, S.; Mathews-Martin, L.; Petit, T.; Charpentier, T.; Pouillevet, H.; Durand, B.; Metras, R.; Gonzalez, G.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350295 medRxiv
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Zoos may serve as sentinel sites for zoonotic vector-borne diseases. West Nile virus (WNV) and Usutu virus (USUV) are closely related orthoflaviviruses transmitted between Culex mosquitoes and a bird reservoir. Both viruses can also infect mammals, including humans, where they may cause symptoms and, more rarely, hospitalization and death. However, serological cross-reactivity between WNV and USUV complicates their differential diagnosis. Here, we aimed to reconstruct the dynamics of emergence of WNV in a zoo located in a newly affected area in Europe, using ELISA and Virus Neutralization Test (VNT) serological analysis of 1707 animal sera collected between 2015 and 2024. Combining this data in a model accounting for cross-reactivity with USUV, we estimated yearly forces of infection (FOI) by both viruses, and thus found that WNV likely circulated in the area one year prior to the first cases reported to the passive surveillance system. Our results also showed that, in the zoo, mammals and reptiles had a lower risk of infection than birds (relative risk of 0.14 [0.05; 0.28]), and that the exposure of birds to water (aquatic lifestyle or proximity to stagnant water) affected the risk. Finally, we estimated diagnosis parameters, including the sensitivity of the VNT (80.4% [76.5%; 84.3%]), the expected VNT titer value, and the level of serological cross-reactivity between viruses during the VNT. To conclude, our modelling framework allowed to disentangle the co-circulation of two closely related viruses, a crucial point in ensuring the reliable sentinel surveillance of these vector-borne zoonotic pathogens.

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GPR143, a novel immunohistochemical marker for renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/MTOR-TFE alterations

Li, Q.; Singh, A.; Hu, R.; Huang, W.; Shapiro, D. D.; Abel, E. J.; Zong, Y.

2026-04-13 pathology 10.64898/2026.04.06.26350070 medRxiv
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Although several ancillary tests are available in limited laboratories, diagnosis of microphthalmia (MiT)/TFE family translocation renal cell carcinoma (tRCC) could be challenging due to diverse and overlapping tumor morphology and the lack of reliable biomarkers. GPNMB has been recently identified as a diagnostic marker for various renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations. However, the sensitivity and specificity of GPNMB immunostain are suboptimal and the result interpretation in ambiguous cases could be difficult. To search additional biomarkers that could improve the screening sensitivity and predict genetic aberrations in FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE pathway in renal tumors, we performed bioinformatic analysis of publicly available cancer databases and found GPR143, a transmembrane protein regulated by MiT transcription factors, was highly expressed in a subset of renal cell carcinomas (RCCs). In two the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) kidney cancer cohorts, RCCs with high levels of GPR143 expression were enriched for renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations. Similar to GPNMB labeling, GPR143 immunostain was positive in the majority of tRCC cases and renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/mTOR alterations, suggesting that GPR143 could function as another surrogate marker for FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations in certain renal tumors. Interestingly, despite the concordant GPR143 and GPNMB immunoreactivity in most renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations, diffuse GPR143 immunostain was observed in some cases with negative or focal GPNMB labeling. Taken together, our results indicate GPR143 could serve as a useful adjunct marker to improve the sensitivity for screening renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations.

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Assessing The Feasibility of AI-Driven Systems for Early Detection of Infectious Diseases at Julius Nyerere International Airport, Tanzania: Policy, Infrastructure, and Ethical Considerations

Malingumu, E. E.; Badaga, I.; Kisendi, D. D.; Pierre Kabore, R. W.; Yeremon, O. G.; Mohamed, M. A.; He, Q.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350459 medRxiv
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This study evaluates the feasibility of implementing artificial intelligence (AI)-driven disease surveillance systems at Julius Nyerere International Airport (JNIA) in Tanzania, a key hub for regional and international travel. Through a mixed-methods approach combining qualitative interviews and quantitative surveys, the research assesses the infrastructure, human resource capacity, and regulatory frameworks necessary for AI integration. Findings indicate that while Port Health Officers are strongly optimistic about AIs potential to enhance disease detection, the airport faces significant barriers, including outdated infrastructure, insufficient technical resources, and a lack of trained personnel. Ethical and privacy concerns, particularly surrounding data security, also emerged as key challenges, compounded by limited public awareness and the socio-cultural acceptability of AI systems. Furthermore, the study identifies gaps in national policies and inter-agency coordination that hinder the effective implementation of AI technologies. The research concludes that while current conditions render AI adoption infeasible, strategic investments in infrastructure, workforce training, and policy development could pave the way for future integration, enhancing public health surveillance at JNIA and potentially other airports in low- and middle-income countries. This study contributes critical insights into the barriers and opportunities for AI-driven disease surveillance in low-resource settings, specifically focusing on a high-priority transit point, international airports. It emphasizes the importance of region-specific solutions to enhance health security in East Africa and supports the broader global health agenda by advocating for international collaboration and the development of scalable disease surveillance systems. Future research should explore pilot AI implementations at other airports to evaluate real-world challenges and refine AI systems for broader applicability, including cost-effectiveness analyses and integration of public perspectives on AI.

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Comparative Evaluation of CLIA and ELISA Serological Assays for HSV-1 IgG with Western Blot Confirmation in a Clinical Cohort

Issa, F.; Trad, F.; Zein, N.; Abunasser, S.; Nizamuddin, P. B.; Salameh, I.; Ayoub, H.; Al-Abbadi, B.; Al-Hiary, M.; Abou-Nouar, Z.; Al-Subeihi, O.; Al-Zubi, Y.; Al-Manaseer, A.; Al-Jaloudi, A.; Nasrallah, D.; Younes, S.; Younes, N.; Abdallah, M.; Pieri, M.; Nicolai, E.; YASSINE, H. M.; Abu-Raddad, L. J.; Nasrallah, G.

2026-04-15 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350849 medRxiv
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Introduction: Herpes simplex virus type 1 (HSV-1) is highly prevalent worldwide, making accurate serological testing essential for both clinical diagnosis and epidemiological surveillance. Automated chemiluminescent immunoassays (CLIAs) offer operational advantages over enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs); however, their diagnostic performance relative to Western blot (WB) confirmation in high-prevalence settings remains insufficiently characterized. Hypothesis/Gap Statement: The comparative diagnostic accuracy of CLIA- and ELISA-based assays for HSV-1 IgG detection, when benchmarked against a WB reference standard in endemic populations, remains unclear. Aim: This study aimed to evaluate HSV-1 IgG seroprevalence and diagnostic performance of one CLIA and two ELISA platforms using Western blot as the reference method. Methodology: Four hundred archived serum samples from adult male craft and manual workers in Qatar were tested using the Mindray CL-900i CLIA, HerpeSelect ELISA, NovaLisa ELISA, and Euroimmun Western blot. Seroprevalence, diagnostic accuracy, and interassay agreement were assessed using WB as the reference standard, with equivocal and indeterminate results excluded from analysis. Results: HSV-1 IgG seroprevalence estimates were comparable across assays: HerpeSelect 72.5%, Mindray 70.5%, NovaLisa 66.3%, and Western blot 66.5%, with no statistically significant differences (all p > 0.05). The Mindray CLIA demonstrated the highest diagnostic performance (sensitivity 95.7%, specificity 88.9%, accuracy 93.4%) and strong agreement with Western blot ({kappa} = 0.85). HerpeSelect showed substantial agreement ({kappa} = 0.81), while NovaLisa exhibited lower specificity. Conclusion: CLIA- and ELISA-based assays produced comparable HSV-1 seroprevalence estimates in this high-prevalence population; however, diagnostic accuracy varied across platforms. The CLIA platform demonstrated the strongest agreement with Western blot, supporting its use in high-throughput settings, while confirmatory testing remains important to minimize misclassification.

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Effect of a theory-driven health education intervention on personal protective equipment use among commercial motorcycle riders in Cameroon: A quasi-experimental study

Ukah, C. E.; Tendongfor, N.; Hubbard, A.; Tanue, E. A.; Oke, R.; Bassah, N.; Yunika, L. K.; Ngu, C. N.; Christie, S. A.; Nsagha, D. S.; Chichom-Mefire, A.; Juillard, C.

2026-04-12 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350441 medRxiv
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BackgroundCommercial motorcycle riders are among the most vulnerable road users in low- and middle-income countries and contribute substantially to the burden of road traffic injuries. The use of personal protective equipment (PPE), including helmets and protective clothing, reduces injury severity; however, uptake remains suboptimal. This study evaluated the effectiveness of a theory-driven health education intervention in improving knowledge, attitudes, and use of PPE among commercial motorcycle riders in Cameroon. MethodsA quasi-experimental, non-randomized controlled before-and-after study was conducted in Limbe (intervention) and Tiko (control) Health Districts between August 4, 2024, and April 6, 2025. Participants were recruited from a cohort of commercial motorcycle riders and followed over an eight-month intervention period. The intervention, guided by the Health Belief Model and developed using the Intervention Mapping framework, combined face-to-face sensitization sessions with mobile phone-based educational messaging adapted to participants literacy levels and communication preferences. Data were collected at baseline and endline using structured questionnaires and direct observation checklists. Intervention effects were estimated using difference-in-differences analysis with generalized estimating equations, adjusting for socio-demographic factors. ResultsA total of 313 riders were enrolled at baseline (183 intervention, 130 control), with 249 retained at endline (149 intervention, 100 control). The intervention was associated with significant improvements in PPE knowledge ({beta} = 2.91; 95% CI: 2.14-3.68; p < 0.001) and attitudes ({beta} = 5.76; 95% CI: 4.32-7.21; p < 0.001) compared with the control group. No statistically significant effect was observed for PPE practice scores ({beta} = 0.21; 95% CI: -0.09-0.52; p = 0.171). Among individual PPE items, helmet use increased significantly in the intervention group relative to the control group (AOR = 2.38; 95% CI: 1.19-9.45; p = 0.036), while no significant effects were observed for gloves, trousers, eyeglasses, or closed-toe shoes. ConclusionThe theory-driven health education intervention significantly improved knowledge and attitudes toward PPE and increased helmet use among commercial motorcycle riders but did not lead to broader improvements in the uptake of other protective equipment. These findings highlight the need for complementary structural and policy interventions to address persistent barriers to PPE use in similar low-resource settings. Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT07087444 (registered July 28, 2025, retrospectively)

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Laboratory capacity assessment in a resource-limited health system, Savannah Region, Ghana; a descriptive cross-sectional study

Saeed, F. U.; Kubio, C.; Kutame, R.; Boateng, G.

2026-04-11 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350443 medRxiv
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BackgroundLaboratory services are essential to the provision of health service delivery across the world. In resource-constrained settings such as in low- and middle-income countries like Ghana, maintenance of a strong capacity could be more challenging. This study assessed the capacity and gaps in laboratory service delivery in three districts of the Savannah Region of Ghana. MethodsThe WHO laboratory assessment tool (LAT) was adapted to collect data in 10 health facilities based on 11 operational system modules. Data were collected through interviews. Capacity was defined based on a 100-point score scale and interpreted as weak (<50%), moderate (50-80%) and strong (>80%). Differences in median scores were determined using Friedman and Kruska-Wallis tests. Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. A scale (0-5) was used to identify the needs of the laboratory. ResultsOverall, capacity score was moderate, mean 50% {+/-} 25.7 with a median score of 52.5%, IQR: 30.0-68.5%. Testing module received the highest score, 71.5%, while document module scored the lowest, 14.5%. Scores did not differ significantly between system components after multiple comparisons, p>adjusted alpha. Hospital-level laboratories performed significantly higher than polyclinics (adjusted p = 0.044) and health centers (adjusted p<0.001). The biggest needs were biosafety, equipment maintenance, human and financial resources (median gap score: 3-4). ConclusionThe laboratory capacity in the health system of the Savannah Region was moderate, requiring improvements in all operational areas. The biggest needs include safety, equipment, human and financial support systems. Addressing these critical gaps would have direct impact on public health and patient outcomes.

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Years Lived without Chronic Diseases after Statutory Retirement - A Register Linkage Follow-up Study in Finland 2000-2021

Pietilainen, O.; Salonsalmi, A.; Rahkonen, O.; Lahelma, E.; Lallukka, T.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.12.26348889 medRxiv
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Objectives: Longer lifespans lead to longer time on retirement, despite the efforts to raise the retirement age. Therefore, it is important to study how the retirement years can be spent without diseases. This study examined socioeconomic and sociodemographic differences in healthy years spent on retirement. Methods: We followed a cohort of retired Finnish municipal employees (N=4231, average follow-up 15.4 years) on national administrative registers for major chronic diseases: cancer, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes, asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, mental disorders, and alcohol-related disorders. Median healthy years on retirement and age at first occurrence of illness (ICD-10 and ATC-based) in each combination of sex, occupational class, and age of retirement were predicted using Royston-Parmar models. Prevalence rates for each diagnostic group were calculated. Results: Most healthy years on retirement were spent by women having worked in semi-professional jobs who retired at age 60-62 (median predicted healthy years 11.6, 95% CI 10.4-12.7). The least healthy years on retirement were spent by men having worked in routine non-manual jobs who retired after age 62 (median predicted healthy years 6.5, 95% CI 4.4-9.5). Diabetes was slightly more common among lower occupational class women, and dementia among manual working women having retired at age 60-62. Discussion: Healthy years on retirement are not enjoyed equally by women and men and those who retire early or later. Policies aiming to increase the retirement age should consider the effects of these gaps on retirees and the equitability of those effects.

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Algorithm-Based Model for Gastrointestinal and Liver Histopathological Analysis Using VGG16 and Specialized Stains: Statistical Validation of Thresholds in AI-Driven Digital Pathology

Adeluwoye, A. O.; Gbadegesin, M. O.; James, F. M.; Otegbade, P. S.; Alabetutu, A.

2026-04-11 pathology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350456 medRxiv
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Digital pathology, coupled with advanced image recognition algorithms, represents a transformative frontier in histopathological diagnosis. This sub-Saharan African laboratorys exploratory study investigates the application of a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model, specifically leveraging the VGG16 architecture with transfer learning, for automated analysis and classification of selected gastrointestinal (GIT) and liver tissue samples, incorporating both routine and specialized staining protocols. The study utilized a dataset comprising 114 samples (18 liver, 96 GIT images) derived from archival formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue blocks at University College Hospital, Ibadan, Nigeria. Specialized staining techniques included Alcian Yellow for GIT mucin visualization and Massons Trichrome for liver fibrosis assessment, alongside conventional H&E staining. Model performance was evaluated using statistical methodologies including Wilson Score confidence intervals (CI), Bayesian probability assessment, and effect size analysis. Results reveal a striking dichotomy in model performance. The GIT tissue model achieved perfect classification accuracy (100% test accuracy) with exceptional statistical significance (Z=10.0, p<0.0001), Wilson CI [96.29%, 99.99%], Cohens h=1.571, and Bayesian probability >99.99%. Conversely, the liver tissue model demonstrated diagnostic failure (42.86% test accuracy), with Z=-1.428, p=0.9236, Wilson CI [33.59%, 52.65%], Cohens h=-0.144, and Bayesian probability of 7.64%. This performance divergence correlates with training data availability, as the liver dataset fell far below empirically established thresholds (>100-200 samples) for reliable classification. The liver models failure reveals limitations in transfer learning with insufficient data. These findings underscore critical implications for AI-enhanced digital pathology, demonstrating potential deployment of the GIT model as a promising one that supports tissue-specific model development.

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Establishment of Contextually Appropriate Cut Offs for Orthopoxvirus Serologic Assays in an Mpox-Endemic Setting

Frederick, C.; Merritt, S.; Halbrook, M.; Mukadi, P.; Anta, Y.; Kompany-Kisenzele, J. P.; Tambu, M.; Makangara-Cigolo, J.-C.; Hasivirwe Vakaniaki, E.; Kenye, M.; Lunyanga, L.; Kacita, C.; Kalonji, T.; Kinanga, C.; Linsuke, S.; Hensley, L. E.; Bogoch, I. I.; Shaw, S. Y.; Hoff, N. A.; Mbala-Kingebeni, P.; Rimoin, A. W.; Kindrachuk, J.

2026-04-14 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350607 medRxiv
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Mpox virus (MPXV) gained increased attention following the declaration of two Public Health Emergencies of International Concern (PHEICs) in 2022 and 2024. The rapid spread of MPXV and the increase in human-to-human transmission highlighted the need for improved diagnostic tools for characterizing infection patterns and transmission dynamics. While PCR is effective for detecting active infections, serological approaches can help identify previous or asymptomatic infections and support retrospective surveillance. However, many serological assays developed during recent outbreaks have not been evaluated in endemic settings such as the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). This study aims to define antigen-specific serological cutoff values to differentiate MPXV-seroreactive individuals from those with other orthopoxvirus (OPXV) exposure or different vaccination histories, specifically for use in the DRC. Here, we analyzed 134 individuals, divided into six distinct cohorts with different exposures. Serum samples were tested using Mesoscale Discovery (MSD) to screen for five MPXV and vaccinia virus (VACV) orthologous antigens: A29L/A27L, A35R/A33R, B6R/B5R, E8L/D8L, and M1R/L1R. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis identified the best-performing antigens and established seroreactivity cutoff values. A binary composite rule was also evaluated to improve the classification of these results. We identified three MPXV antigens, E8L (cut-off=12.33 AU/mL), A35R (cut-off=5.22 AU/mL), and B6R (cut-off=9.77 AU/mL), that showed the strongest discriminatory performance in the dataset. Collectively, these three antigens form a significant panel that demonstrated clear separation between our mpox survivor cohort and other OPXV-exposed individuals.

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Time-to-Tuberculosis disease diagnosis after completion of Tuberculosis preventive therapy among people living with HIV on Antiretroviral Therapy in Eastern Uganda: A retrospective cohort study

Esele, B. A.; Oryokot, B.; Ssentongo, S. M.; Mulongo, M.; Akanyo, J.; Bongomin, F.

2026-04-13 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350451 medRxiv
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BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among people living with HIV (PLHIV), who face a 12-fold higher risk of active TB reactivation than HIV-negative individuals. TB preventive therapy (TPT) is an effective intervention, yet TB/HIV co-infection persists at 40-45%, raising questions about the durability of a single course of TPT. This study assessed the time from TPT completion to TB diagnosis and predictors of early TB reactivation. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective case-only cohort study using routine data from Ugandas electronic medical record system, TB registers, and patient files at three TASO Centres of Excellence (Soroti, Mbale, Tororo). PLHIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) diagnosed with TB after completing TPT between 2022-2024 were included. Participant characteristics and time to TB diagnosis were summarised descriptively; predictors of early TB were identified using logistic regression. ResultsAmong 670 participants, most were female (464, 69.3%) with mean age 51.6 years (SD 14.5). Newly diagnosed TB accounted for 638 (95.2%), including bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary TB (535, 79.9%), clinically diagnosed TB (123, 18.4%), and extrapulmonary TB (12, 1.8%). Overall, 548 (82.8%) participants were virally suppressed, with most on Dolutegravir-based regimens (641, 95.7%). Early TB occurred in 144 (21.5%), with average time to diagnosis 2.6 years. Multivariable analysis showed care at TASO Soroti was protective (aOR = 0.104, p < 0.001), while clinically diagnosed TB (aOR = 1.91, p = 0.007), shorter ART duration (<5 years: aOR = 3.07, p = 0.001; 5-10 years: aOR = 1.74, p = 0.018), and viral suppression (aOR = 1.87, p = 0.014) increased odds of early TB. ConclusionsTB can occur soon after TPT completion, with one in five PLHIV developing early disease particularly those with shorter ART duration despite viral suppression. Strengthening TB screening, continuous monitoring, and repeat TPT for high-risk groups may improve prevention.

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Dengue risk perception and public preferences for vector control in Italy and France: utility and regret-based choice experiments

Andrei, F.; Tizzoni, M.; Veltri, G. A.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350604 medRxiv
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Background: Dengue is rapidly emerging in parts of Europe. How households value vector control attributes, and whether inferences depend on decision models or message framing, is unclear. Methods: We conducted a split-ballot online experiment among adults in Italy and France, as well as a hotspot subsample from Marche, Italy. National samples included 1,505 respondents in Italy and 1,501 in France; 183 respondents were recruited in Marche. Participants were randomised to a discrete choice experiment (random utility maximisation) or a regret-based choice experiment (random regret minimisation) and to one of three pre-task messages (control, loss aversion, community values). Each respondent completed 12 choice tasks comparing two dengue control programmes and an opt-out. We estimated mixed logit and mixed random-regret models with random parameters and treatment effects. Results: Across frameworks, nearby cases and high mosquito prevalence were the dominant drivers of programme uptake, whereas cost and operational burden were secondary. In pooled analyses, loss-aversion messaging increased the weight on high mosquito prevalence in both models (from 0.483 to 0.547 in the utility model; from 0.478 to 0.557 in the regret model). Cost effects were small nationally but larger in the hotspot subsample. Conclusions: Risk salience dominates preferences for dengue vector control in these European settings. Random utility and random regret models yield consistent rankings of attributes but differ in behavioural interpretation and some secondary effects; messaging effects were modest and context dependent.

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Chronic skin ulcers, Burkina Faso: review of consultation trends and patient types treated between 2013 and 2023 in the dermatology departments of Souro Sanou and Yalgado Ouedraogo University Hospitals

Christiana, K. A.; Anselme, M.; Juliette, T.-D.; Aristote Wendpanga, D. N.; Boukary, D.; Issouf, K.; Samuel, K. D.; Lydie, T. Y.; Madi, K.; Abdoulaye, O.; Madi, S.; Sanata, B.; Jacques, Z.; Therese, K.; Abdoul-Salam, O.; Baptiste, A. J.; Macaire, O.; Pascal, N.

2026-04-11 dermatology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350370 medRxiv
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Social stigma surrounding chronic skin Ulcer leads patients to hide their wounds or delay seeking medical care. The aim of this study was to explore the types and causes of chronic skin ulcers among patients seen in the dermatology departments of two university hospitals in Burkina Faso. This was a cross-sectional, retrospective study covering an 11-year period, from 2013 to 2023. A review of consultation records allowed for the collection of sociodemographic and clinical data from 104 patients who were seen for chronic skin ulcers over the 11-year period, averaging 9 patients per year. The patients were primarily adults (n=60) and older adults (n=21). Leg ulcers were the condition observed in most patients (n=59). Eight cases of Buruli ulcer (7.69%) were identified among the 104 patients. Five of the eight cases, or 62.50%, were aged between 0 and 19 years. Half of the eight patients resided in Ouagadougou. These results highlight low utilization of dermatology services for chronic skin ulcers. Furthermore, indigenous cases of Buruli ulcer have been identified in Burkina Faso. Consequently, our findings call for the implementation of strategies focused on addressing social perceptions of these ulcers and on the screening and management of this disease.

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Prevalence and Factors Associated with Family-Based HIV Index Case Testing in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, 2023: A Cross-Sectional Study

Koyra, A. B.; Mohammed, F.; Eshete, T.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350444 medRxiv
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BackgroundFamily-based HIV index case testing identifies family members with unknown HIV status and links them to care. Data are limited in southern Ethiopia. MethodsA facility-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 377 adults on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, from November 2022 to May 2023. Participants were selected using systematic random sampling. Data were collected via interviewer-administered semi-structured questionnaire. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with index case family testing. Adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, and statistical significance was declared at p < 0.05. ResultsThe proportion of index case family testing for HIV was 84.9% (95% CI: 81.2- 88.6). In multivariable analysis, urban residence (AOR = 2.8; 95% CI: 1.16-6.75), duration on ART greater than 12 months (AOR = 13.0; 95% CI: 4.6-36.9), disclosure of HIV status to family members (AOR = 5.6; 95% CI: 1.9-16.5), discussion of HIV status with family members (AOR = 6.6; 95% CI: 1.9-23.2), and being counselled by health professionals to bring families for testing (AOR = 6.3; 95% CI: 2.1-19.0) were significantly associated with index case family testing. ConclusionThe prevalence of family-based HIV index case testing in Wolaita Zone was 84.9%, below the national 95% target. Health professionals should strengthen counselling on ART adherence, status disclosure, family discussion, and active referral to improve testing uptake among family members of people living with HIV.

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WITHDRAWN: Detection of Measles Virus RNA in Wastewater: Monitoring for Wild-Type and Vaccine-Derived Strains in a National Preparedness Trial

Ahmed, W.; Gebrewold, M.; Verhagen, R.; Koh, M.; Gazeley, J.; Levy, A.; Simpson, S.; Nolan, M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350527 medRxiv
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Wastewater surveillance (WWS) is established as a vital tool for monitoring polio and SARS-CoV-2 with potential to improve surveillance for many other infectious diseases. This study evaluated the feasibility of detecting measles virus (MeV) RNA in wastewater as part of a national WS preparedness trial in Brisbane, Australia, from March to June 2025. Composite and passive sampling methods were employed in parallel at three wastewater treatment plants serving populations between 230,000 and 584,000. Nucleic acids were extracted and analyzed using RT-qPCR targeting MeV N and M genes to distinguish wild-type and vaccine strains. MeV RNA were detected in both 24-hour composite and passive samples on May 26 to 27, 2025 from the largest catchment of 584,000 which also included an international airport. No measles cases were reported in this city or region within 4 weeks of the WS detections. These were confirmed as vaccine-derived measles virus (MeVV) strain via specific RT-qPCR assay. Extraction recoveries varied (11.5% to 70.5%), with passive sampling showing higher efficiency. This is the first report of use of passive samples for detection of MeV. These findings are consistent with other studies reporting WWS results of both MeVV genotype A and wild type genotype B and/or D. It demonstrates the potential for sensitive MeV WWS with rapid differentiation of MeVV from wild type MeV shedding, including in airport transport hubs and with different sample types. Use of WWS could strengthen measles surveillance by enabling rapid detection of MeV RNA and supporting outbreak preparedness and response. This requires optimised methods which are specific to or differentiate wild-type MeV from MeVV. Furthermore, the successful detection of MeV using passive sampling in this study highlights its potential for deployment in diverse global contexts which may include non-sewered settings.

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Health Insurance Expenditure Structure for Type 2 Diabetes Treatment in Vietnam by Hospital Classification, 2018-2022: A Descriptive Analysis of Claims Data From Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City

Nguyen, T. T. T.; Nguyen, V. L.; Vo, N. N. Y.; Nguyen, H. C. D.; Nguyen, H. T. T.

2026-04-13 health economics 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350559 medRxiv
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Background Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a chronic disease that imposes a significant burden on healthcare systems and society. In Vietnam, the prevalence of T2DM is rapidly increasing; however, evidence on treatment expenditure derived from large administrative databases remains limited. This study was carried out provides an overview of total treatment expenditures for T2DM across hospital tiers between 2018 and 2022. Methods This cross-sectional descriptive study utilized retrospective health insurance (HI) data from 2018-2022. Data was collected and analyzed based on cost components (medications, diagnostic tests, hospital beds, etc.) across healthcare facilities classified by hospital level. Costs were converted to 2024 USD using the CCEMG-EPPI-Centre cost converter. Results Total expenditure increased from 227.17 million USD in 2018 to 425.53 million USD in 2022 with spending concentrated in Class I and Class II healthcare facilities, although their shares declined over time, while the proportions attributed to unclassified and special-class facilities increased. Drugs accounted for the largest share of expenditure (49.65%-78.95%), followed by laboratory tests (7.31%-19.89%) across all hospital classifications. Other components, including hospital beds, diagnostic imaging, procedures/surgeries, and medical supplies, contributed smaller proportions but increased over time in several facility groups. Conclusion The study indicates that medication costs constitute the largest share of treatment expenditure for type 2 diabetes mellitus at healthcare facilities, reflecting the long-term treatment requirements of this chronic disease. In addition, health expenditure remained concentrated in Class I and Class II healthcare facilities, although their shares declined over the study period, while the proportions attributed to unclassified and special-class facilities increased. These findings suggest the need to strengthen diabetes screening, treatment, and follow-up at lower-level healthcare facilities in order to reduce the burden on higher-level hospitals and improve the efficiency of healthcare resource allocation.

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Persistent Anthropometric Deficits in School-aged Children with Perinatal HIV Exposure

Donaldson, F.; Morgenthal, D.; Davidow, A.; Jumare, J.; Akhigbe, P.; Osagie, E.; Omoigberale, A.; Obuekwe, O.; Okoh-Aihe, P.; DOMHaIN study team, ; Richards, V.; Coker, M.

2026-04-11 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.04.07.26349779 medRxiv
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BackgroundDespite scale-up of antiretroviral therapy (ART), children living with HIV (CLHIV) and children who are HIV-exposed-but-uninfected (CHEU) are at an increased risk of poor growth outcomes compared to children HIV-unexposed-and-uninfected (CHUU). Few studies quantify the magnitude of growth deficits extending into school age in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This study examined the impact of perinatal HIV exposure and infection on the growth trajectory of school-aged children in Nigeria. MethodsWithin a prospective cohort, 569 children aged 3-11 years were recruited from pediatric clinics in Nigeria and matched by age and sex based on their exposure or infection status. School-aged children were observed across three time-points at 6-month intervals, during which anthropometric measures, CD4 count, and maternal factors were collected. Z-scores for height-for-age (HAZ), weight-for-age (WAZ), and body-mass-index-for-age (BAZ) were calculated using WHO standards. Longitudinal linear regression analyses using generalized estimating equations (GEE), adjusted for maternal and child covariates, were conducted to compare growth outcomes across groups. ResultsGrowth Z-scores declined until approximately age 8, after which they gradually increased. Across all visits, CLHIV consistently and independently demonstrated lower Z-scores (WAZ ({beta} = -1.04, p <0.001); HAZ ({beta} = -0.67, p <0.001)), followed by CHEU with intermediate but significant impairments (WAZ ({beta} = -0.35, p <0.01); HAZ ({beta} = -0.38, p <0.01)) compared to CHUU. ConclusionStunting remains unacceptably high in CLHIV and CHEU in SSA. The findings suggest a need for immediate paradigm shifts to address persistent growth deficits despite ART and beyond infancy.

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AENEAS Project: First real-time intraoperative application of machine vision-based anatomical guidance in neurosurgery

Sarwin, G.; Ricciuti, V.; Staartjes, V. E.; Carretta, A.; Daher, N.; Li, Z.; Regli, L.; Mazzatenta, D.; Zoli, M.; Seungjun, R.; Konukoglu, E.; Serra, C.

2026-04-11 surgery 10.64898/2026.04.09.26348607 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: We report the first intraoperative deployment of a real-time machine vision system in neurosurgery, derived from our previous anatomical detection work, automatically identifying structures during endoscopic endonasal surgery. Existing systems demonstrate promising performance in offline anatomical recognition, yet so far none have been implemented during live operations. Methods: A real-time anatomy detection model was trained using the YOLOv8 architecture (Ultralytics). Following training completion in the PyTorch environment, the model was exported to ONNX format and further optimized using the NVIDIA TensorRT engine. Deployment was carried out using the NVIDIA Holoscan SDK, the system ran on an NVIDIA Clara AGX developer kit. We used the model for real-time recognition of intraoperative anatomical structures and compared it with the same video labelled manually as reference. Model performance was reported using the average precision at an intersection-over-union threshold of 0.5 (AP50). Furthermore, end-to-end delay from frame acquisition to the display of the annotated output was measured. Results: A mean AP50 of 0.56 was achieved. The model demonstrated reliable detection of the most relevant landmarks in the transsphenoidal corridor. The mean end-to-end latency of the model was 47.81 ms (median 46.57 ms). Conclusion: For the first time, we demonstrate that clinical-grade, real-time machine-vision assistance during neurosurgery is feasible and can provide continuous, automated anatomical guidance from the surgical field. This approach may enhance intraoperative orientation, reduce cognitive load, and offer a powerful tool for surgical training. These findings represent an initial step toward integrating real-time AI support into routine neurosurgical workflows.

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Understanding community knowledge, attitudes and practices related to participation in household transmission investigations during infectious disease outbreaks

Meagher, N.; Hettiarachchi, D.; Hawkins, M. R.; Tavlian, S.; Spirkoska, V.; McVernon, J.; Carville, K. S.; Price, D. J.; Villanueva Cabezas, J. P.; Marcato, A. J.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350464 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe World Health Organization has developed several global template protocols for epidemiological investigations, including for household transmission investigations (HHTIs). These investigations facilitate rapid characterisation of novel or re-emerging respiratory pathogens and support evidence-based public health actions. Beyond technical readiness, community buy-in is central to the feasibility and acceptability of HHTIs. Research is needed to determine the perceived legitimacy among the community to inform local protocol adaptation and development of implementation plans that consider community attitudes and needs. MethodsIn 2025, we conducted a convenience survey of community members living in Victoria, Australia to explore: their understanding of emerging respiratory diseases; their willingness to take part in public health surveillance activities such as HHTIs; the acceptability of clinical and epidemiological data collection and respiratory/blood sample collection as main components of HHTIs, and; participant comfort towards including their companion animals in HHTIs. ResultsWe received 282 survey responses, of which 235 were included in the analysis dataset. Compared to the general Victorian population, our participants included a higher proportion of participants who reported being female, tertiary-educated, of Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander heritage, born in Australia and speaking only English at home. Participants indicated overall high levels of comfort and acceptability towards participation in HHTIs, particularly in relation to clinical and epidemiological data collection, with lesser but still high levels of comfort with providing multiple respiratory specimens in a 14-day period. Participants were least comfortable with other specimens such as urine and blood. Involving companion animals in HHTIs was similarly acceptable as human-focused components. ConclusionsDespite our survey population being non-representative of the general Victorian population, our findings provide valuable descriptive insights into the acceptability of HHTIs in Victoria, Australia from which to benchmark future local and international surveys and community engagement activities.

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Culture-independent identification and serotyping of Streptococcus pneumoniae by targeted metagenomics in pleural fluid samples

Smith, S. A. M.; Rockett, R. J.; Oftadeh, S.; Tam, K. K.-G.; Payne, M.; Golubchik, T.; Sintchenko, V.

2026-04-16 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350812 medRxiv
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Streptococcus pneumoniae is the leading cause of empyema and pneumonia in children, and monitoring of effectiveness of polyvalent pneumococcal vaccines has been essential for controlling invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in children and elderly adults. Conventional serotyping of pneumococci has relied on Quellung reaction following laboratory culture, however more recently whole genome sequencing (WGS) has been implemented in many reference laboratories to enhance traditional typing. Pleural fluid samples from cases with empyema are often culture negative, limiting the utility of WGS and requiring polymerase chain reaction (PCR) or 16S rRNA sequencing to detect S. pneumoniae. These molecular methods have limited sensitivity and capacity to characterise pneumococcus in clinical samples, especially in specimens with a low pathogen abundance. This study applied capture-based enrichment (tNGS) to identify and characterise S. pneumoniae directly from pleural fluid samples. A total of 51 pleural fluid samples were subjected to tNGS with a custom probe panel, for 39 known positive fluids collected from IPD cases between 2018-2025 in New South Wales, Australia. tNGS results were benchmarked against molecular-based serotyping. Our tNGS achieved 100% sensitivity and specificity in detecting S. pneumoniae. Serotyping results were concordant with PCR and 95% (37/39) of S. pneumoniae PCR positive pleural fluid cases could be serotyped using tNGS. Standard molecular methods however could only determine serotype in 56% (22/39) of samples. This tNGS enabled 39% improvement in ability to directly identify and serotype IPD-associated serotypes of S. pneumoniae in difficult-to-culture pleural fluids can significantly enhance laboratory surveillance of IPD as well as our understanding of vaccine effectiveness.

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Accumulation of Benzalkonium Chloride from Disinfectants in Dust Associated with Increased Microbial Tolerance

Yu, J.; Tillema, S.; Akel, M.; Aron, A.; Espinosa, E.; Fisher, S. A.; Branche, T. N.; Mithal, L. B.; Hartmann, E. M.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350823 medRxiv
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Benzalkonium chloride (BAC) is widely used as a disinfectant in cleaning products and is frequently detected in indoor dust. In this study, we assessed dust samples, along with information on cleaning product use, from 24 pregnant participants. Dust samples were analyzed for BAC concentration and microbial tolerance. Different chain lengths of BAC (C12, C14, and C16) were quantified using LC-MS/MS, and bacterial isolates were tested for BAC tolerance using minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) assays. BAC was ubiquitously detected, with C12 and C14 being dominant. Higher BAC concentrations were associated with reported disinfectant use and increased microbial tolerance. These findings suggest that indoor antimicrobial use may promote microbial resistance, highlighting potential exposure risks in indoor environments and the need for further investigation into health and ecological impacts.